Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings Expert Pick – June 17, 2023

SEATTLE STORM VS. DALLAS WINGS EXPERT PICK – JUNE 17, 2023 –Greetings basketball fans. Welcome back to our WNBA coverage here at Godzilla Wins. There is only one game on Saturday’s slate. The Seattle Storm (2-7) taking on the Dallas Wings (5-5).

Here’s a look at which team has the advantage going into this matchup and why. 

Be sure to check out more of our basketball coverage here, as well.

The Odds

Tipoff

When: Saturday, June 17, 2023 at 2:00 PM ET

Where: College Park Center, Arlington TX

TV: CBS

Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of June 17, 2023

Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings Season Trends 

The Seattle Storm have been struggling this season, to put it nicely. They kicked off their 2023 campaign with four consecutive losses. And they have dropped three of their previous four games. This includes a lopsided 96-63 loss to the Las Vegas Aces on Thursday night. Ezi Magbegor led the Storm with 23 points, 11 rebounds, and two assists. 

Given Seattle’s 2-7 record, it should not come as a surprise that this team is playing poorly at both ends of the floor. Seattle is ranked last in both scoring offense (73.4 points per game) and efficiency (92.3 points per 100 possessions). Defensively, the Storm are ranked 8th in scoring defense (allowing 83.3 points per game) and the team has the fourth-worse deficiency rating. 

Meanwhile, although the Dallas Wings are at the .500 mark, they are amid a mini-slump after suffering back-to-back losses to the New York Liberty (102-93) and the Los Angeles Sparks (79-61). From an offensive perspective, the Wings are much better than their counterparts, as they are ranked fourth in scoring and fifth in offensive rating. But as is the case with the Storm, Dallas does not excel as the defensive end of the court, either. Dallas is ranked 9th in scoring defense (84.4 points per game) and 8th in defensive rating (allowing 103.9 points per 100 possessions). 

Taking into consideration how poorly these two ball clubs have performed from a defensive standpoint, this potentially could be a high-scoring affair. 

Here are my betting trends for this matchup. 

The Picks

Over/Under

At the time of this writing, there was no over/under total info available for this matchup. These two teams give up a combined 167.7 points per contest. Along with both teams’ struggles on defense, here are a few other trends that suggest why taking the OVER is a safe bet. 

The OVER total has hit for Dallas in six of their last nine games against Seattle.

The OVER total has prevailed five times for Dallas in their last seven home games against Seattle. 

On the flip side of the coin, the total has gone OVER in 15 of Seattle’s last 23 games. 

In Seattle’s last nine games, the OVER total has prevailed six times. 

Lastly, the OVER has hit for Seattle five times in the team’s last seven games which it has played on the road against Dallas. 

Prediction: OVER 167.7 total points

The Spread

As was the case with the over/under total, there is no spread data available for this game. Taking into consideration how Seattle has struggled this season, including three Ls in their last four contests, I would strongly advise going with the Wings in this matchup. 

Player Prop Bet

My player to watch in this contest is Jewell Loyd. The ninth-year guard is averaging 23.8 points and 3.5 assists per contest. Both are team-highs and the scoring average is a career-best thus far.  After scoring 25-plus points in her first five games of the season, Loyd has cooled off, failing to reach the 20-point threshold in each of her last three outings. 

That said, I think she is due for a solid outing against a team that does not excel from a defensive standpoint. If the projected scoring total is 20 points or less, go with the OVER for Loyd in this one.