John Fredericks: MLB Moneyline Wagers for Saturday, July 8

JOHN FREDERICKS: MLB MONEYLINE WAGERS FOR SATURDAY, JULY 8, 2023 – We are on a roll! 5-2 yesterday netted us another plus +$385. At 192-159-1 on the season, this gets our deficit down to a manageable minus -$95 on the season. We’ve got two days to get into the black before the break so no time to waste! We have been on fire the last week!

2023 MLB Godzilla Season Stats

192-159-1, -$95

*Based on all wagers at $100 per game at money or run line odds as specified in Draft Kings. Note: If money line is -$150, we are laying $150 to win $100, etc.  If we take +$130 and we win, we win $130 for our $100.

July 8, 2023

Cards (-130) at White Sox

The Cardinals bullpen has been a disaster all season and they blew another five run lead in the 7^th inning last night.

The problem for Chicago is simple: their bullpen is spent. The Cards’ Mike Mikolas numbers look worse than they are, all his inherited runners score, inflating his ERA. Chicago’s starter has pitched a grand total of 13 innings this season. The White Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 games on the south side.

Pick: Cards (-130)

 

Reds at Brewers (-130)

The Reds balloon is about to bust. It’s Newton’s Law of Physics: What comes up must come down. I’ve been saying the Reds pitching metrics are horrific and they can’t keep scoring 10 runs a day.

Finally, the Brew-Crew’s offense has come alive. Look for the Reds to get swept here and come back down to earth.

Pick: Brewers (-130)

 

A’s at Boston (-1.5 runs, -120)

When Boston starts scoring 8-10 runs a game at Fenway, it gets contagious. James Paxton is back, going eight innings last time out and tossing a 3-hit shut-out. Paxton’s ERA at home is 1.69. Ride him when he gets in this groove.

Pick: Boston (-1.5 runs, -120)

Braves (-160) at Rays

I love Atlanta here again as the Rays have pressure to prove they are not a one-half wonder. Spencer Strider had a lights out game last start, and he’s 6-1 on the road. On the other side, Taj Bradley blew up, giving up nine hits and five runs in three innings. His ERA at home is 5.27. The Braves rule this league, and they will prove it again tonight at the Trop. Start fading the Rays and Reds.

Pick: Atlanta (-160)

 

M’s at Houston (-135)

The Astros have gotten walloped at home by Seattle two nights in a row, being outscored 15-2. They look like a team limping into the break.

Then along comes Framber Valdez, rested and ready, after having missed a start. Baseball is a funny game. Things never stay the same. I’ll take one of the five top starters in the MLB at -135 any day. Especially today!

Pick: Astros (-135)

 

Angels at Dodgers (-145)

Fade the Angels without Trout. It’s really that simple. They know they are losing Ohtani in the next two weeks. This is a sad sack bunch.

Pick: Dodgers (-145)

 

Mets at PODS (-170)

This is a stubborn bet that at some point in our lifetime the San Diego Padres have to start winning ball-games. They lost again last night, but today that lineup goes up against the Mets David Peterson, whose road ERA is 9.21. If the Padres lose this game, they are really in a hole. When do they win?

Pick: PODS (-170)