San Francisco 49ers vs. Philadelphia Eagles Expert Pick – December 3, 2023

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS VS. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES EXPERT PICK – DECEMBER 3, 2023 — Happy Sunday, football fans. Welcome back to our weekly NFL coverage here at Godzilla Wins.

One of the more intriguing games from Sunday’s slate features the San Francisco 49ers (8-3) taking on the Philadelphia Eagles (10-1).

So without further delay, here is a look at which team has the edge heading into this matchup and why.

Kickoff

When: Sunday, December 3, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET

Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA

TV: FOX

San Francisco 49ers vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds

Odds courtesy of DraftKings

San Francisco 49ers vs. Philadelphia Eagles – Regular Season Numbers & Betting Trends

The Niners have caught fire following their bye week

San Francisco posted wins in each of its first five games of the season.  But a three-game losing streak going into their bye week could have been cause for concern.

Coming out of the bye week, the 49ers have turned things around with wins in each of their previous three contests. This includes a 31-13 win against the Seattle Seahawks on Nov. 23.

Brock Purdy was 21-of-30 with one touchdown and an interception. Christian McCaffrey torched Seattle’s defense, running for 144 yards on 19 carries along with two touchdowns. Deebo Samuel had seven receptions totaling 79 yards. Simply put, the 49ers look like their old selves

The Eagles Are A Home Underdog? Seriously?

Like the Niners, Philadelphia started their season with a 5-0 record before the Week 6 hiccup against the New York Jets. Since that loss, the Eagles have rattled off five consecutive victories. After posting wins against the Dallas Cowboys (28-23) and the Kansas City Chiefs (21-17), the Eagles followed that up with a 37-34 overtime victory over the Bills last week. Jalen Hurts finished 18-of-31 for 200 yards, one touchdown, and one pick. He tallied 65 rushing yards as well.

D’Andre Swift paced the Eagles’ ground game with 80 yards and he caught seven passes for 106 yards and a touchdown. It is also worth mentioning that Philadelphia won that game despite trailing 34-24 in the fourth quarter.

But despite posting their second five-game winning streak of the season and having the league’s best record, the Eagles are a home underdog. Go figure.

This contest is a rematch of last year’s NFC title game. Philadelphia easily covered the three-point spread with a 31-7 win. Will this be another lop-sided win for the Eagles, or will the Niners make a game of it this time around?

Now that we have set the table for this clash between two of the best squads in the NFC, here is a look at the betting trends for both sides.

The Picks

The Spread

The Niners opened as a one-point underdog. However, that line has moved to them being a three-point favorite. Despite the Niners going 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games against NFC opponents, here are a few reasons why you should go with the home team to cover in this matchup.

• San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall.
• The Niners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 matchups against the Eagles.
• Philadelphia is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
• The Eagles are 4-1-1 in their last six games that were played on a Sunday.
• In their last six matchups against NFC opponents, the Eagles are 4-1-1 against the spread.
• Philadelphia has covered the spread eight times in their last nine home games following a home win.
• Lastly, the Eagles are the NFL’s best team against the spread as well. They have a 77.8 percent success rate, going 7-2-2.

Prediction: Philadelphia Eagles (+3)

Over/Under

The projected over/under total opened at 45.5. At the time of this writing, the line has moved to 47.5. Here are a few trends that suggest going with the “under” in this matchup.

• The UNDER total has hit four times in San Francisco’s last five road games against the Eagles.
• In Philadelphia’s last five games against the Niners, the UNDER total is a perfect 5-0.
• The UNDER total has cashed in six times in the Eagles’ last seven matchups against NFC West opponents.

Prediction: UNDER 47.5 points

Player Prop Bet

My key player to watch in this contest is Christian McCaffrey. He currently has -115 odds of rushing for more than 71.5 odds and -115 odds of rushing for less than 71.5 yards.

McCaffrey is averaging 85.4 rushing yards per contest, which is significantly higher than his projected total. Additionally, McCaffrey has eclipsed the rushing yards total for this matchup seven times in the team’s 11 games.

Given these trends, going with the “over” for McCaffrey looks like a good bet.

Prediction: Christian McCaffrey OVER 71.5 rushing yards