John Fredericks MLB Playoffs 2023
All Picks Based on $100 Unit Wagers
Texas at Tampa (-155)
They got off to one of the fastest starts in MLB history at 23-3. They made three errors in their first 26 games. They won 99 games. They were unbeatable at home.
The Rays made FOUR errors in game one of the wild card series and now face elimination at home at the hands of the Texas Rangers, who flamed out in Seattle in the regular season’s final series.
To add insult to injury, only 19,500 fans showed up at the cement truck. This is the lowest attendance for a MLB playoff game in 104 years.
The good news for Tampa: Nathan Eovaldi starts for Texas. Since his forearm injury in August, he’s lost two MPH off his fastball and he’s been hammered. Eovaldi’s ERA is over 9.00 in his last six starts. Lots of Vegas wise guys are betting Texas. LMAO. How’d that Chiefs -9.5 bet work out for you on Sunday night? Clowns.
Pick: Rays (-155)
Arizona (+125) at Brewers
See ya Brew-Crew. You stunk up the playoffs yet once again.
Arizona won last night against the Brewer’s ace. Now they get their ace in Zac Gallen.
Brewers under-performing manager Craig Counsell – after his team blew a three-run lead – burned his closer last night and wasted his entire high-leverage bullpen. Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta is not likely to go deep into this game.
Zac Gallen has been solid this season and look for another strong showing on Wednesday as the D-Backs board a plan to Atlanta.
Pick: Arizona (+125)
Toronto (+120) at Minnesota
The Twins have hit just .161 as a team lifetime against Jays starter Jose Berrios with an on-base percentage of .274 and slugging percentage of just .242. That’s called owning a team!
Berrios faced the Twinkies at Minnesota once this season and allowed just four hits and no earned runs over 5.2 innings. He’s beat them five straight.
Berrios has an ERA of just 2.13 in his last nine starts with opponents hitting just .213 against him.
Jays get even today.
Pick: Toronto (+125)
Fish at Phillies (-155)
I don’t need a ton of analysis here. Aaron Nola has been a workhorse all season and his record at home is 6-3. The Marlins have hit him hard this season, which gives me some pause, but betting against the Phillies and that lineup at Citizens Bank Park in the playoffs is a tough ask at only -155.
Pick: Phils (-155)