Menu Close

NFL Week 17 Monday Night Football: Bills at Bengals

NFL Week 17 Monday Night Football: Bills at Bengals Odds and Best Bets

NFL WEEK 17 MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: BILLS AT BENGALS ODDS AND BEST BETS  - Week 17 is coming to a close and what better way to celebrate the new year than with a terrific MNF matchup between the Buffalo Bills (12-3) and the Cincinnati Bengals (11-5).

The Bengals are owners of a seven game win streak. They are playing like the best team in the NFL right now. Cincinnati has only lost one game at home this year.

The Bills may not be playing to the height that we've come to accept, but Buffalo is on a six game win streak and looking to keep up with the Chiefs in a race for first place in the AFC.

This game could be a potential AFC championship matchup, so let's lock into some of the best value picks for tonight.

Bills at Bengals Betting Trends

  • Bills are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Bills are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
  • Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Bengals are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 7-1 in Bills last 8 road games.
  • Under is 7-0 in Bengals last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Click here to read The Godzilla's Week 17 NFL Picks!


When: Monday, January 3rd at 8:30 pm

Where: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH

How to Watch: ESPN

Public Bets: Bills, 52%

Public Money: Bills, 87%

Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of January 3rd, 2022

The Odds



















Jack's Pick

The Bills like to run Josh Allen in big games against good opponents. Buffalo won't endanger their star quarterback when the game is meaningless, but in a big situation it's nearly a sure thing that Allen is going to make plays with his legs.

The Bengals are 14th in DVOA for rushing, but most of that is focused on how well a defense can stop running backs. A unique talent like Allen's, who can throw the ball 50 yards or scramble for 20, poses huge problems for defenses.

The Bengals struggle contain mobile quarterbacks. They allowed 33 rushing yards on 5 attempts agains the Browns and Deshaun Watson. Marcus Mariota and the Falcons ran for 31 yards on 6 attempts. Lamar Jackson tagged Cincy for 58 yards on 12 attempts in their game in October.

The best plays here are Josh Allen rushing attempts and rushing yards props. In 8 games against playoff teams this season, Allen averages 9.5 rushing attempts per game and 59 yards total rushing. This isn't just a spot where you can take the over on both of these props. You can play with some escalators as well.

Allen's rushing attempts prop is at 8.5. The over at 8,5 attempts is 12-5 in the Bills last 17 games against playoff teams.

I also like the over on Allen's rushing yards. He's currently at 45.5 yards, but you could escalate it and get a little more value. DraftKings will offer Allen 50+ yards at +120. I don't know if he'll run for 75 yards, but 50 seems doable. I like this play.


Jack's Pick

Allen over 8.5 Rushing Attempts

Allen over 45.5 Rushing Yards

Nate's Pick

This is the one we've been waiting for all week: a potential AFC Championship preview. These two teams look to be the clear class of the AFC with the only other team even remotely in the conversation being the Chiefs.

Both teams seem to be playing their best football right now, so this won't be like some of the lame games we had on Thursday night and over the weekend where teams are resting starters, dealing with injuries, tanking, etc.

The Bengals are 20-3 against the spread in their last 23 games, but this just feels like a spot where they lose. I think the injuries to the defensive line for Cincy will be the deciding factor.

The Bengals will have trouble counting Josh Allen through the air and on the ground with those losses.

I'll ride with the Bills here.

Nate's Pick

Bills -2.5

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *