Menu Close

NFL Thursday Night Picks from Our Analysts (ATS)

By: John Fredericks, Nate Perry, and Jack Fredericks

Week 1 of the NFL season kicks off tonight with a bevy of sweet, sweet storylines. Will the Rams repeat? Are the Bills the team to beat? Is Josh Allen the GOAT? Is Matt Stafford done with those AT&T commercials? Which defense will show us the goods? We’ll have The Godzilla’s NFL column up soon, but here’s a little taste.

Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams (Rams +2.5), 7:00 PM EST, NFL Network

John Fredericks: Didn’t the Rams win the Super Bowl? Who anointed the Bills as this year’s media love team? While things could go sideways for L.A. as the season plays out, the Rams will never be as healthy and as ready for a game as they are for this Week 1 opener, at home, unfurling their new championship banner. I like Matthew Stafford in these openers, healthy and ready to go. The Bills are everybody’s new dream team. I can’t believe I’m getting points, too. Rams +2.5

Nate Perry: Take the Rams plus the points tonight. These teams are basically equally matched and there’s no reason the Rams should be dogs at home. Don’t buy into all that Bills hype. NFL trends point to a Rams win, as the Super Bowl winer usually wins and covers Week 1 over the past twenty years. I also urge everyone to lay a big piece of your Thursday night pie on Josh Allen rushing over 38.5 yards at -125. The man averages 59 yards on the ground in playoff games. Treat this as playoff game and you’ll be buying some new Nikes. Allen will tear it up on the ground. Rams +2.5. Josh Allen rushes over 38.5 yards. 

Dana Carvey/SNL

Jack Fredericks: Wrong! Sean McVay might be 5-0 in season openers. The Bills may have laid an egg against the Steelers last year in Week 1. The Rams may have won the Super Bowl. But the Bills mafia travels and the hype is here to stay. Josh Allen tossed a combination of nine touchdowns in his two playoff games last year. He loves a big moment and L.A. is no home field advantage. This game comes down to who can score last and who can score quickly. Give me Allen with 1:15 left and we’re wining by 6. Bills -2.5


  • John Fredericks, Publisher

    John Fredericks, the Godzilla of Truth, has spent more than 40 years in the media, previously working as a journalist, newspaper editor, and television host. Fredericks is an avid sports fan, journalist, and handicapper. He brings his unique voice and style, crafted by years of political commentary broadcast on the airwaves, to the world of sports. He cut his teeth on the radio announcing high school football, basketball and baseball games. His weekly column, You Can't Buy Culture, follows ebbs and flows of a diehard fan at the whims of his favorite teams.

  • Jack Fredericks, Editor

    Jack Fredericks is the editor of Godzilla Wins. He has a M.A. Literature and the Environment and a M.A. in Teaching. He covers the NFL, college football, and the NBA. He combines his unique perspective with advanced metrics to provide robust analysis for your enjoyment. Twitter: @JohnMattFred

  • Nate Perry, Senior Analyst #NoPickNate

    Nate Perry is a career college educator and literary writer who tends bar to get the inside scoop on sports. He makes his living in hardscrabble downtown Reno, Nevada. A sports handicapper by trade, Nate is legendary at the sportsbook in Reno. If you can gamble on it, chances are Nate has tried his hand at it. He's a former fiction writer who has turned to writing about sports in a desperate bid to get published, much to the chagrin of nearly everyone around him. He is featured here with his extremely large dog, Boatswain.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *