Greg Kittle, Anytime TD (+170)
Your undependable crew of reckless degenerates is back to give you some red-hot takes on Monday night’s NFC West showdown between the 49ers and Cardinals.
This is a story of two teams having vastly different seasons.
The 49ers have performed admirably after Trey Lance went down early in the season, rallying behind Handsome Jimmy and a nasty defense.
The Cardinals just can’t seem to get it together and have been plagued by maddeningly inconsistent play on both sides of the ball.
The Seahawks lead the NFC West, but the division has been fairly unremarkable and basically, everyone is still in the hunt, except the Rams. This game could have big consequences for both teams tonight at the end of the season, so don’t be fooled into thinking this is a meaningless game after looking at their crappy records.
NATE: Colt McCoy is The Truth
This line is moving quickly from -8 to -10 after news that it is extremely unlikely Kyler Murray will play after injuring his hamstring two weeks ago. His rehab process is likely icing his leg and playing Call of Duty while he recovers, so I wouldn’t have been optimistic about him even if he was healthy.
Colt McCoy is competent and beat the Niners last year as an underdog, so we know he’s done it before. This just feels like way too many points for SF to lay in a neutral site game being played in Mexico City.
In order to cover the spread, they are going to have to score some points. They hung 22 against a banged-up Chargers defense last week, so things are definitely trending in the right direction as they integrate Christian McCaffery into the offense. Kliff Kingsbury, for as much as we trash him here at GodzillaWins, is actually a fairly r
eliable bet as an underdog when he isn’t massively outclassed in the coaching department.
Kyle Shanahan has struggled to cover as a favorite against the Cards. I won’t buck the trends here. I’ll take the points and hope Colt McCoy can be smart with the football.
Pick: Cards +10
JACK: Greg Kittle and 49ers Funky Bunch
Nate might feel like a man on an island, but the public likes his pick.
76% of public money is on the Cards to cover this game and the Murray injury news hasn’t seemed to affect that number too much. When Jimmy Garappolo catches a TD or more as a favorite, he’s 1-6-1 ATS and we all know Shanahan’s numbers against the spread aren’t so great either. 10 points is too much to lay.
The Cardinals have a Colt McCoy problem. Even though the Niners' defense has been bad the last five games (26th in DVOA), it’s possible they get right here with a backup QB on a neutral field. Let’s see where else we can find some value.
The guys at ActionNetwork are all over the tight-end props for the 49ers. The Cardinals are giving up 7.5 yards per target to opposing tight ends. They’ve allowed 778 receiving yards and seven touchdowns to tight ends this year.
Cardinals give up the most receiving yards per game in the NFL to opposing tight ends, 73.6 yards per game.
Have to imagine George Kittle has a big game in Mexico City.
— Akash Anavarathan (@akashanav) November 18, 2022
Tight ends find the end zone against the Cardinals. Greg Kittle should eat here.
There are a ton of fun props to play, but I love the juice on Kittle anytime touchdown (+170). That’s a great play. Take a look at his over/unders for receiving yards. This is easy money.
Pick: Greg Kittle Anytime TD (+170)
JOHN: No Country for Old Quarterbacks
At some point, this season, a double-digit favorite in the NFL has to cover. This has to be the game.
Arizona has a 37-year backup QB playing against perhaps the first or second-best overall defense in the NFC. Is Colt McCoy the answer to the Cardinals' woeful season? No, but he did beat a sorry and declining Rams team last weekend.
This is different: the Niners are heading in the right direction with two straight wins. I don't see how Arizona moves the ball against the defense with Kyler Murray running around the backfield like a crazy man, extending plays and getting yards with his legs. McCoy can't find his way out of a paper bag. Lots of AZ three and outs. SF is the better team with a ferocious defense.
Lay the points -- odds are in your favor. Some NFL
team will finally cover a 10+ point spread before Week 17.