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Newcastle United vs. Tottenham Hotspur Expert Pick

Newcastle United vs. Tottenham Hotspur Expert Pick

NEWCASTLE UNITED VS. TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR EXPERT PICK – Get ready for a highly anticipated end to end matchup between two teams separated by just 3 points.

Both teams are coming off disappointing losses, but Newcastle should be coming into this one with confidence as they still have a game in hand. Newcastle will welcome their closest top 4 rivals Tottenham Hotspur to St. James’ park where Newcastle have only lost once this season.


The Magpies put in possibly their worst performance of the season last time out against Aston Villa and will be looking to make amends following the 3-0 defeat. They have been fairly consistent all season long, but after going down 1-0 in the 11th minute they never really looked like a team interested in getting back into the game. In that match, Newcastle managed only 48% possession with 2 shots on target.

On a brighter note, Newcastle midfielder Miguel Almiron returned to action as a substitute following a long injury stint. He is likely to be back in the starting 11 against Tottenham. On another positive note, Newcastle will be back at St. James’ Park where they have only lost once this season and rank 2nd in the league defensively. 


Tottenham are also coming off a poor performance as they experience all sorts of problems defensively losing 3-2 to 14th placed Bourenmouth at home. They have a 5W-5D-5L record in away games this season and have only managed to net 35% of their goals when not playing at home.

One thing Tottenham did not struggle with in their loss to Bournemouth was goalscoring. Tottenham managed 57% possession in that loss and had 24 total shots on goal. Tottenham have proven that they play very well in front of goal and have netted 11 goals in their previous 5 Premier League games. They’ll face a tall task this weekend though as Newcastle have stood firm defensively all season at St. James’ Park.



Date: Sunday, 04/23/2023 at 9:00 AM EST

Pitch: Newcastle United – St. James’ Park, Newcastle, England

Current PL Form: | Newcastle United (WWWWL) | Tottenham Hotspur (WDDWL) |

Last PL Match: | Aston Villa 3 – 0 Newcastle | | Tottenham 2 – 3 Bournemouth |

Head to Head

Draft Kings Moneyline Odds: | HOME: -125 | TIE: +275 | AWAY: +310 |


| Both Teams to Score Yes (-135) |

There will be plenty of attacking talent on display between these two sides so there is a good chance that we will see plenty of goals.

Tottenham have only been shut out twice this season in 15 away games and they have scored at least 2 goals in their last 5 away matches against Newcastle in all competitions.

They have also scored in their last 16 Premier League visits to Newcastle. Newcastle on the other hand are averaging 1.6 goals per game at St. James’ park and have only been shut out 3 times in the Premier League in 14 total home matches. 

| Total Goals Over 2.5 (-120) | 

Like I said before, I don’t expect their to be a lack of goals in this one. 5 of the last 6 Premier League meetings between these two clubs have ended with over 2.5 goals being scored.

Five of Newcastle’s last 6 and 4 of Tottenham’s last 5 Premier League outings have also had at least 3 goals scored, so you can see why I’m pretty confident that there will be goals in Sunday’s matchup.

Video By: Twitter (@footballdaily)


  • Allan Saint-Maximin, Emil Krafth, and Ryan Fraser are all ruled out for Newcastle.
  • Miguel Almiron will be fit to play for Newcastle following a long injury stint.
  • Yves Bissouma, Rodrigo Bentancur, Emerson Royal, Ryan Sessegnon, Ben Davies, and Lucas Moura are all ruled out for Tottenham.
  • 65% of Tottenham’s Premier League goals this season have been scored in the 2nd half.
  • Newcastle have an 8W-5D-1L record and have a +14 goal differential in home Premier League matches this season.
  • Tottenham have a 5W-5D-5L record and have a -1 goal differential in away Premier League matches this season.
  • Tottenham have only 1 win in their previous 6 away Premier League matches this season.
  • Newcastle have only lost 1 Premier League game at home this season in a total of 14 matches.


This prediction is all about form. Sure Newcastle lost badly in their last game, but they have won 5 of their last 6 Premier League games and they don’t typically lose in front of their home crowd.

Tottenham on the other hand have only won 2 of their previous 6 Premier League games and during that stretch have dropped points to Wolverhampton (13th), Bournemouth (14th), Everton (17th), and Southampton (20th).

Tough call on what is likely to be a tight match, but I’m backing Newcastle to come out on top in this top 5 clash, just as they did back in October where they came out 2-1 winners away at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

Given Tottenham’s successful history at St. James’ Park and their skill in front of goal, I’ve got a good feeling that Tottenham have enough to find the net against Newcastle United. However, with Tottenham’s inconsistency this season and their shaky defense I don’t see Newcastle being outfought at home. 



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