John Fredericks: Tigers at Blue Jays MLB Predictions
Godzilla MLB Record 2023
8-4 + $302 for the Season
*Based on all wagers at $100 per game at money or run line odds as specified in Draft Kings. Note: If money line is -150 we are laying $150 to win $100, etc. If we take +130 and we win, we win $130 for our $100.
Odds courtesy of Draft Kings as of 4/13
JOHN FREDRICKS: TIGERS AT BLUE JAYS MLB PREDICTIONS – So far so good. We are off to a nice start. Won on Houston last night.
Thursday, April 13, 1:10 EST
Tigers at Jays (9.0 Runs over -120)
Well, here we go again. After losing 50 straight over-under games, I’m due for a winner tonight.
I’m going with the over in this game at 9 runs and minus 120.
Why? Neither team has a lick of pitching in this game. This game falls into the bang the baseball into oblivion category.
Let’s start with Detroit starter Spencer Turnbull. His ERA is 13.50, his WHIP is 2.25 and he allowed five runs against Boston and seven against Tampa Bay while completing just 7.2 innings.
Meanwhile, Toronto’s Chris Bassitt has been equally as pitiful, as he was lit up like a dive-bar pinball machine in his first start: allowing nine runs and 10 hits over 3.1 innings at St. Louis. He bounced back against the Angels but his dead red is flat as a pirate’s pancake.
Hapless Detroit’s opponents have averaged 6.4 runs per game against them on the road this season. Keep the trend up and we cash a ticket. But wait, what about the Tigers bullpen? Yep, they suck: an ERA of 6.85.
The Jays have averaged 6.5 runs per game at home this season and are hitting .292 as a team.
Toronto scores a lot of runs at home.
The price on Toronto is too high but the run line is a real value.
Pick: OVER 9.0 Runs -120
Red Sox (+195) at Rays, 1:10 EST
The streak ends this afternoon. Eventually, Tampa will lose a game. I like a Corey Kluber here in a high-profile shut down situation with a nice price at +195. Boston is due to break out and its really tough to get a four game sweep on a decent MLB team. The Tampa run ends a game shy of 13. Only two teams in MBL history won their first 13 games and four game sweeps are less then 10 percent since 1950.
Do you believe in arithmetic? I do.
Pick: Boston +195
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