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John Fredericks MLB Picks: Birds To Yankees-There’s A New Sheriff In Town!



2023 MLB Godzilla Season Stats

226-186-1 +$360

*Based on all wagers at $100 per game at money or run line odds as specified in Draft Kings. Note: If money line is -$150, we are laying $150 to win $100, etc.  If we take +$130 and we win, we win $130 for our $100.

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July 28 2023

Going 2-3 and losing -$120 isn’t what we bargained for…things are getting topsy-turvy with the MLB trade deadline coming up. All eyes are on the Mets, now that Max Scherzer wants out and Justin Verlander has stuck their owner Steve Cohen with a disastrous $87 million contract for the next 18 months. We’ll see what they do, but don’t be shocked if Verlander goes back to Houston for a few minor leaguers. He has a relationship with the owner, Jim Crane and is friends with manager Dusty Baker. If Cohen coughs up half his salary, the Astros will bite. Another Houston trade bet is Paul Seward of the Mariners, who would ease the strain of their beleaguered and over worked bullpen.

It looks like the Cubs are not selling as they are making a move in the standings.

Big question: what will the Padres do? They are 9.0 games back of the Dodgers and six back of the WC, with seven teams to jump over. Not a good spot to be in.

We are 226-186-1 on the season, and we are up plus +$360. Lets go!

Rays at Astros (-130)

Houston lost a tough game last night but I’m going back to the well! They have their full line-up back and now Altuve and Yordan have seen live MLB pitching two straight games. The runs will come, and Hunter Brown has great stuff, he’s just been inconsistent.

The Rays are going to continue their July collapse

Pick: Astros (-130)

Phillies at Pirates (+155)

The Phillies are over-valued in Vegas again. Are they the favorite? Yes. Should it be -185? No. The Pirates are a decent team at home and this line is just too good to pass up.

Pick: Bucs (+155)

Tigers at Fish (-160)

Johnny Cueto is back for Miami, and not a moment too soon! After losing eight straight, the Marlins have won their last two. The Tigers are reeling again, losers of four in a row.

Miami has to sweep the Tigers at home to get back on track, they are tied for the last wild card slot with the Giants.

Detroit has dropped four straight. I’ve said all year this is a streaky team – one way or the other.

Pick: Fish (-160)

Twins (-190) at Royals

You can’t be losing games to Kansas City and then make believe you are a contender. The Royals won their one game for the week last night! Yay! Their starter Jordan Lyles is 1-12 and got ambushed for four runs in the first inning last Sunday by the Yankees. After today, he’ll be 1-13.

Pick: Twinkies (-190)

Cubs (+110) at Cards

I’m betting the Cubs and their five game winning streak tonight over St. Louis. I have lost all 50 bets on the Cubs this season. I’m 0-50. I bet the Cubs, they lose. I bet against the Cubs, they win. Like magic. It’s like the Bears last year in the NFL. I went 0-17 ATS.

Your best option is to fade this pick — and play the Cards. That’s a lock.

Pick: Cubs (+110)

Yankees at Birds (-125)

Ride the Birds my friends. They are going to sweep New York, put the Yankees out of their misery and make a statement that there’s a new sheriff in town, like they did last week at the Trop.

Tyler Wells turned around after a few weaker starts in a row last week. I’m going with him and his 0.99 WHIP.

Pick: O’s (-125)  

Mariners (-125) at Arizona

The D-Backs are choking like a stuffed chicken. Seattle is at a crossroads right now: win and buy — or lose and sell. What will it be? Their rookie Bryan Woo has been solid. Seattle is 4.5 back in the WC, and 6.5 out of first. If they sweep in Arizona, they buy, winners of five in a row (three now). If they lose the next two- they sell on Monday-night. It’s put up or shut up.

Pick: Mariners (-125)

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  • John Fredericks, Publisher

    John Fredericks, the Godzilla of Truth, has spent more than 40 years in the media, previously working as a journalist, newspaper editor, and television host. Fredericks is an avid sports fan, journalist, and handicapper. He brings his unique voice and style, crafted by years of political commentary broadcast on the airwaves, to the world of sports. He cut his teeth on the radio announcing high school football, basketball and baseball games. His weekly column, You Can't Buy Culture, follows ebbs and flows of a diehard fan at the whims of his favorite teams.

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