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Iowa vs. Purdue Expert Pick and Prediction – February 9, 2023

Matthew Wadleigh, Contributor
Iowa vs. Purdue Expert Pick and Prediction - February 9 2023
Iowa vs. Purdue Expert Pick and Prediction - February 9, 2023

Iowa vs. Purdue Expert Pick and Prediction - February 9, 2023

IOWA VS. PURDUE EXPERT PICK AND PREDICTION - FEBRUARY 9, 2023  - The college basketball slate on Thursday isn’t as exciting as it usually is.

Nonetheless, there are a few interesting matchups, and Iowa hitting the road against top-ranked Purdue is a thrilling Big Ten battle. Let's get to the odds, analysis, and my pick. 



The Odds

Matchup

Open

Spread

Points

Moneyline

Iowa

(15-8)

+8

+7.5

o150.5

---

Purdue

(22-2)

u150

-7.4

u150.5

---

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Tipoff

When: Thursday, February 9th at 7:00 pm EST

Where: Mackey Arena, West Lafayette, IN

TV: ESPN2

Public Bets: 62%, Purdue

Public Money: 83%, Iowa

Odds courtesy of DraftKings, as of February 8th, 2023

Iowa vs. Purdue In-Season Trends

Purdue maintained the top spot in the AP polls despite losing just its second game of the year. This one came against Indiana on Saturday by five points. Granted, that game was on the road, and the Hoosiers are a top-25 team, so take it as you will. 

Purdue and Iowa have not played each other yet this season, and this will be their only regular-season matchup. Purdue has just one loss at home all year, and it was a one-point loss to Rutgers at the beginning of January, so they play really well in Mackey Arena. 

Iowa has been off and on all year long. The Hawkeyes won four in a row to start January, then lost a pair (including a 16-point loss to Ohio State), and then won three straight with wins over Rutgers, Northwestern, and Illinois.

All three wins came at home, and playing at Purdue is never easy.

The Difference-Makers

Kris Murray has been fantastic all year long for the Hawkeyes, leading the way with 20.5 PPG and 8.5 rebounds. He has 15 or more points in each of the last three games and nine of the last 10 entering this matchup. 

On the other side, Zach Edey has been the heart and soul of the Purdue team, averaging 22.4 PPG with 13.2 rebounds. In the loss to Indiana, he shined bright with 33 points and 18 rebounds on 15-19, and he has double-doubles in each of the last three games.

The Pick

Iowa is 7-2 against the spread over the last nine games, and Purdue is coming off a crushing loss to Indiana. However, Iowa is just 2-6 against Purdue in the last eight games, and the Hawkeyes are 1-4 in their last five road games. 

The Boilermakers can’t afford to lose this game if they want to stay at No. 1, and they respond with a dominating victory at home. Take the Boilermakers' moneyline, spread, and take the over.

Matt's Picks

Purdue ML (-275)

Purdue -7.5

OVER 150.5 Total Points

DISCLAIMER: Godzilla Wins is for entertainment purposes only. Must be 21 or older, and reside in states where sports wagering is legal only. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the Problem Gambling Helpline at 888-532-3500.

 

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