UFC Vegas 70: Main Event Three Best Prop Bets
UFC VEGAS 70: MAIN EVENT THREE BEST PROP BETS –Â The winner of the main event this weekend could be setting themselves up for a title shot due to all the injuries at the top of the light heavyweight division.
On Saturday, eighth-ranked Ryan Spann will fight sixth-ranked Nikita Krylov in the main event. The card will take place at the UFC Apex, with the main card beginning at 7 p.m. EST.
Krylov
Nikita Krylov is on a two-fight win streak with a unanimous decision over Volkan Oezdemir and a first-round KO over Alexander Gustafsson.
It is his second stint in the UFC, with the first starting in 2013 at heavyweight. During that stint, he went 1-1 at heavyweight and 5-2 at light heavyweight.
His second stint began in 2018 with a loss to Jan Blachowicz and a record of 4-4 during that stint leading up to this fight. His overall record is 29-9, with 12 knockouts and 15 submission victories.
Spann
Ryan Spann began his UFC career on Dana White’s Contender Series with a loss and redeemed himself a year later with a win to earn a contract.
He has gone 7-2 in the UFC, with two consecutive first-round finishes leading up to this fight. His overall record is 21-7, with six knockouts and 12 submission victories.
We had some fun with our main event props from UFC Vegas 69. Let’s get to the props for UFC Vegas 70.
Over 1.5 Total Rounds +120
Nikita Krylov went the distance in his last fight against Oezdemir and landed seven takedowns.
Spann’s takedown defense is 50%, which means he will likely end up with his back on the mat at some point during the fight. He possesses serious knockout power and is most dangerous early in the bout.
Krylov may implement a wrestling game plan early to mitigate some of the risks of damage that could occur from standing with Spann. Spann will also have a 1.5-inch reach advantage, and wrestling may be Krylov’s safest path to victory.
Spann’s last five fights have not left the first round, and he has question marks surrounding his gas tank.
Krylov could attempt to wear him down early, and he can take advantage later in the fight. He landed 86 strikes and two takedowns in the final round of his previous fight, which means he possesses the stamina to wrestle deep into this fight.
Krylov by KO/TKO/DQ +250
Both men are a threat to win by submission or knockout, which the odds reflect.
Spann’s takedown defense is 50%, and Krylov’s is 53%. Based on his previous fights, Krylov is more prepared to shoot a takedown, but Spann has been able to reverse positions after being taken down and win via submission.
That is unlikely to happen in this fight since Krylov is the more experienced grappler.
Krylov was knocked out once in his UFC debut in the heavyweight division. Spann has been knocked out three times in his career, with two in the UFC and the other outside of the promotion.
In terms of striking, they are even skill-wise, but Krylov could start landing damage as the fight goes on. Spann is the less durable fighter with a questionable gas tank, which means Krylov will likely finish the bout, and the value lies in the knockout finish.
Krylov by KO/TKO/DQ in round 3 +2500
The main event is five rounds, but both fighters have never fought past the third round in the UFC.
Spann’s style is more suited for three-round bouts, with him looking to end it quickly with a knockout or submission. Krylov is better suited to go deeper into the later rounds, mainly based on his second UFC stint.
He has gone the distance with Glover Teixeira, Magomed Ankalaev, Johnny Walker, and Volkan Oezdemir. Those are all high-level competitors within the division.
The two may take some time to feel each other out in the first round while trying to get better timing.
If Krylov implements a wrestling game plan, he will try to extend this fight into the second or third round. This will take Spann out of his comfort zone. This prop is a long shot but offers extreme value based on how this fight may play out.